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Very thoughtful, Dave. I think the only possible nit-pick I have with you is Trump's ability to get a veto-proof majority in Congress to override Biden --- AND, Biden has some "wiggle room" between a PUBLIC out and out cut-off and doing what he's doing now. I predict that he will get Netanyahu to agree to a temporary cease fire and Hamas will slow walk the release of hostages and that will create a momentum to not start up the war again. But of course this is an example of the "wish being father to the thought" and based on nothing more than hope. There is also the pressure inside Israel to make the hostages a higher priority than revenge.

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I agree the two thirds override woule ve bardm but AIPAC has a lot of clout among Democrats, and the Republicans willl do what Trump wants. As for your hopeful scenario, while there is considerable pressure for Netanyahu to get a deal that gets all the hostages out, at that point the majority of Israelis, methinks, will happily chear a continuation of the slaughter in Gaza. Which is why Hama will not let them all go until the IDF is out of Gaza or there is some UN peacekeeping deal.

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