Okay, its Sunday morning, and we're still not in a nuclear war. It seems clear that Israel was deterred from launching an attack on Iran, at least for the moment. It instead is attacking Iranian forces in sites within Syria. That is likely the result of US pressure not to have a direct conflict between Iran and Israel. We're still not out of the woods on this though. Clearly the key to getting the threat tamped down is an end to the slaughter in Gaza.
Okay, its Sunday morning, and we're still not in a nuclear war. It seems clear that Israel was deterred from launching an attack on Iran, at least for the moment. It instead is attacking Iranian forces in sites within Syria. That is likely the result of US pressure not to have a direct conflict between Iran and Israel. We're still not out of the woods on this though. Clearly the key to getting the threat tamped down is an end to the slaughter in Gaza.
So true. Peace.
Today Iran fired some drones and then some missiles at targets in
Israel. Ignore the drones; they are irrelevant. According to a story
in the Financial Times, as reported by Alexander Mercouris, the whole
thing was cooked up in advance in a backchannel deal (courtesy of
Oman) between Iran and the US/Israel. This sounds about right. Iran
informed the US in advance of the precise spots to be hit, so that all
casualties could be avoided. Thus Iran looks good to the Arab street,
and at the same time signals its deterrent capability by being able to
hit all those targets. Iran is able to say it retaliated for the
Israeli attack on the embassy in Damascus. Israel is saying it
intercepted and downed nearly all of the missiles. Seems unlikely.
They probably didn't intercept a single one. Iranian/Russian/Chinese
missiles are way ahead of anything the West has, and there is no
defense. (Alternatively, Iran promised the US not to employ the most
up to date missiles, as part of its backchannel deal.) This makes the
Israelis look good, and helps to explain the otherwise suspicious fact
that there are no casualties.
Meanwhile, Israel cannot take on Hamas or Hezbollah, let alone both
together. Israel will now be deterred from attacking Iranian assets,
knowing that any such attack will swiftly lead to the abolition of
Israel. There is still some hope for a two-state solution, but this
now appears very unlikely, though possibly Trump will save Israel by
imposing the two-state solution. The one Palestinian state solution
now seems overwhelmingly likely. The Jews will be a tolerated
religious minority in Palestine, as they were before 1948. The exact
path is unclear, but Israeli living standards will now fall
precipitously and 50 percent of Israelis will melt away into the West.
They all seem to have passports. Could the UN put troops into
Palestine to impose a political solution on the Israelis? I think
they could.
Yep!!
None of it makes any sense… until you realize that they WANT this war, they NEED this war, and that they will have this war!!